It’s well known that voter turnout is strongest in presidential election years, weaker in mid-term years with races for federal office and weaker still in odd-year elections, which are typically limited to races for municipal office.
In Connecticut, declining turnout — the rate at which registered voters are showing up to cast ballots — has presidential election participation is approaching levels seen in the weaker mid-term elections 25 years ago. In turn, mid-term voter turnout is on par with that of municipal elections a quarter-century ago.
Turnout for Tuesday’s election was up a little bit, at 32.7%, the Secretary of the State’s office announced Friday.
Survey data from the U.S. Census Bureau, illustrated in the two charts below, show the rates of registration and voting for the whole population. However, these are survey results and are subject to sampling error, unlike the Secretary of the State’s turnout rates.
Who is casting ballots and who isn’t?
The Census survey data are further broken down by age, race, sex and education level. We looked at this breakdown for the election in 2014, the most recent year for which the data are available.
The Census Bureau doesn’t just ask if people voted; it asks why non-voters didn’t cast ballots. “Too busy” or “not interested” were the most common responses across the nation in 2014.